import json import numpy as np import matplotlib.pyplot as plt def load_graded(path): with open(path) as f: data = json.load(f) return [item["graded_list"] for item in data] datasets = [ ("Qwen3-4B-Base", "output/Qwen3-4B-Base/Scenario.codegeneration_16_0.6_eval_all.json"), ("ftajwar (MaxRL 1000)", "output/ftajwar/qwen3_4B_Base_MaxRL_Polaris_1000_steps/Scenario.codegeneration_16_0.6_eval_all.json"), ("ftajwar (GRPO 1000)", "output/ftajwar/qwen3_4B_Base_GRPO_Polaris_1000_steps/Scenario.codegeneration_16_0.6_eval_all.json"), ] def bootstrap_pass_at_k(graded_lists, k, n_bootstrap=10000, rng=None): """Bootstrapping estimator for pass@k averaged over problems.""" if rng is None: rng = np.random.default_rng(42) problem_scores = [] for outcomes in graded_lists: outcomes_arr = np.array(outcomes, dtype=bool) n = len(outcomes_arr) # Sample k indices with replacement, check if any pass samples = rng.integers(0, n, size=(n_bootstrap, k)) any_pass = outcomes_arr[samples].any(axis=1) problem_scores.append(any_pass.mean()) return np.mean(problem_scores) k_values = [1, 2, 4, 8, 16] fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8, 5)) all_values = [] for label, path in datasets: graded = load_graded(path) rng = np.random.default_rng(42) pass_at_k = [bootstrap_pass_at_k(graded, k, rng=rng) for k in k_values] all_values.extend(pass_at_k) print(f"\n{label}:") for k, v in zip(k_values, pass_at_k): print(f" pass@{k}: {v:.4f}") line, = ax.plot(k_values, pass_at_k, marker="o", linewidth=2, markersize=8, label=label) for k, v in zip(k_values, pass_at_k): ax.annotate(f"{v:.3f}", (k, v), textcoords="offset points", xytext=(5, 6), fontsize=8, color=line.get_color()) ax.set_xscale("log", base=2) ax.set_xticks(k_values) ax.set_xticklabels([str(k) for k in k_values]) ax.set_xlabel("k", fontsize=12) ax.set_ylabel("pass@k", fontsize=12) ax.set_title("pass@k (bootstrapping estimator)", fontsize=13) ax.set_ylim(0, max(all_values) * 1.3) ax.legend(fontsize=10) ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3) plt.tight_layout() plt.savefig("instruct.png", dpi=150) print("\nSaved instruct.png")